Home » democratization » #Ukraine Oct-Nov poll re 2019 elections: #Tymoshenko & her ‘Fatherland’ clear front-runners, so far

#Ukraine Oct-Nov poll re 2019 elections: #Tymoshenko & her ‘Fatherland’ clear front-runners, so far

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Macro Regions Ukraine
Summary of especially comprehensive poll (ca. 10,000 respondents) jointly conducted by Ukraine’s three leading sociological services KIIS, Razumkov Centre and Rating Group, in October-November 2018:
(1) Prominent presidential candidates’ rating among citizens who have made up their minds and plan to vote:
Tymoshenko (Fatherland) –    21%,
Zelenskyi (comedian) –            11%,
Poroshenko (Solidarity) –        10%,
Hrytsenko (Civic Position) –    10%,
Boyko (Opposition Bloc) –         9%,
Lyashko (Radical Party) –         8%,
Vakarschuk (singer) –                6%,
…..
Sadovyi (Self-Help) –                  3%,
Yatsenyuk (People’s Front) –    1%;
(2) Tymoshenko leads in all macro-regions, i.e. in the West, Center, North, South (on par with undeclared candidate Zelenskyi) & East, with the exception of the Donbas where she (8%) is second to Boyko (12%), while Poroshenko gets 4%;
(3) Poroshenko’s “anti-rating” among those who plan to vote: 51.4% (i.e. citizens who will not vote for the candidate, under any circumstances); Tymoshenko’s “anti-rating:” 27.5%;
(4) Tymoshenko beats more or less clearly (while Poroshenko loses, with wide margin, to) all likely potential rivals, in 2nd round of presidential elections (undeclared candidate and comedian Zelenskyi comes with 23% vs. 26% closest to beating Tymoshenko);
(5) Tymoshenko vs. Poroshenko in likely run-off: 29% to 14% of those planning to vote, i.e. Tymoshenko adds amount of additional votes approx. double to those Poroshenko gains, in 2nd round;
(6) Major parties’ electoral support, if next Sunday were parliamentary elections, among citizens who have made up their minds and plan to vote (note: there is a 5% entry barrier, in the proportional part of the voting):
– Fatherland (Tymoshenko) –                      21.7%,
…..
– Civic Position (Hrytsenko) –                        9.8%,
– Opposition Bloc (Boyko) –                            9.2%,
– Solidarity (Poroshenko) –                            8.1%,
– Radical Party (Lyashko) –                            7.0%,
– Ours (Murayev) –                                           4.9%,
– Self-Help (Sadovyi) –                                     4.4%,
….
– Freedom (Tyahnybok) –                               3.0%,
– People’s Front (Yatsenyuk) –                       0.6%,
– UDAR (Klychko) –                                          0.4%.
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1 Comment

  1. […] observers, like Kuzio, support a prolongation of Poroshenko’s presidency. The problem is that, according to opinion polls, Ukrainian voters are, as of late November 2018, of a clearly different opinion. So far, […]

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