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Why a Brexit Might Be GOOD for European Integration: A Cynical Speculation

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Given the seemingly disastrous repercussions of a Brexit for the British economy and state (with a possible new Scottish referendum), one wonders what vote result might be strategically better for the future of European integration. Would a suicidal British “Leave” vote really be that bad for the project of a united Europe? Britain would be a kind of guinea-pig whose probably sad fate would illustrate to the public of many countries the grave effects, of a rejection of the EU, on even as strong a European country as the UK. The argument of the Eurosceptic populists in many smaller countries would become more vulnerable, and the Union’s attractiveness more obvious. Britain’s presumably significant problems would also send strong signals outside the EU, and demonstrate the importance of the Union for Europe’s and the world’s future. Good Europeans (perhaps, even British ones) might thus see the vote on June 23rd philosophically: If Britain stays, it will be a victory for the EU. If it leaves, it might – in the long run – be even more beneficial to European integration.


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