История с вагнеровцами: может ли СБУ позволить себе действовать как израильский Моссад? @UkrLifeTV

История с вагнеровцами: может ли СБУ позволить себе действовать как израильский Моссад? – Умланд | Політика | UKRLIFE.TV

 

Zoom Conf.: Ukraine in East-Central Europe: Kyiv’s Bilateral Relations and Prospects of Regional Multilateralism @IDMVienna, 18 Sep 2020, 14:20-19:30

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International Hybrid Conference

“Ukraine in East-Central Europe:
Kyiv’s Bilateral Relations and Prospects of Multilateralism in the Region”

Zoom & IDM, Vienna, 18 September 2020, 2:20-7:30 p.m. (CEST)
Conference organized by IDM in cooperation with Paneuropa-Union (Vienna) and Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF, Kyiv)Website: http://www.idm.at/veranstaltungen/aktuelle-veranstaltungen/item/ukraine-in-east-central-europe
Facebook Event: https://www.facebook.com/events/328324144906900/Youtube Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4Nq0m3HJmo&feature=youtu.be


What is the role of Ukraine for the future of East-Central Europe, and vice versa? Where does Kyiv politically stand now, and should it strategically engage, in the future, within the area from Prague to Tallinn, from Riga to Baku? How can Ukraine’s relations with other East-Central European countries develop? What are the chances, opportunities and hindrances for these bilateral relations to grow, broaden and intensify, or to stagnate and even deteriorate? Can Kyiv expect and should thus work towards new bilateral treaties with its geographically closest strategic partners, and if so – with which countries towards what kind of agreements? Is there – if such upgraded relations were to develop – an opportunity to create not only deeper bilateral ties? Are there also chances for new multi-lateral networks or structures? Could such novel multilateralism around Ukraine go beyond the already existing, yet geographically and functionally circumscribed Organization for Democracy and Economic Development (GUAM), Visegrad Four, Bucharest Nine Group, and Three Seas Initiative?

CONFERENCE PROGRAM

14:20 Welcome by the Organizers

Sebastian Schäffer, Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe, Vienna
Rainard Kloucek, Paneuropa-Union, Vienna
Andreas Umland, Ukrainian Institute for the Future, Kyiv

14:30 Panel One: “Ukraine and the Major Regional Actors in East-Central Europe”

“Future Scenarios of EU Integration: Opportunities and Risks for Prospective Members”
Andreas Heinemann-Grüder, University of Bonn

“Polish-Ukrainian Bilateral Relations after the Annexation of Crimea”
Agnieszka Legucka, Polish Institute for International Affairs (PISM), Warsaw

“Ukraine’s Relations to Romania in the Past and Present”
Angela Gramada, Experts for Security and Global Affairs Association, Bucharest

“Ukraine’s Relations to Russia before and during the Russian-Ukrainian War”
Igor Gretskiy, St. Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg

16:00 Panel Two: “Case Studies of Ukraine’s Bilateral Relations after 1991”

“Ukraine’s Relations to Belarus”
Yauheni Preiherman, Minsk Dialogue Council on International Relations

“Ukraine’s Relations to Azerbaijan”
Jamila Ismayilzada & Rusif Huseynov, Topchubashov Center, Baku

“Ukraine’s Relations to Slovakia”
Alisa Muzergues, Independent Researcher, Bratislava

“Ukraine’s Relations to the Czech Republic”
David Stulik, European Values Centre for Security Policy, Prague

17:30 Panel Three: “Ukraine, Austria and East-Central European Multilateral Structures”

“Austria’s Relations to Post-Maidan Ukraine on the Backdrop of the ‘Russian Factor’”
Martin Malek, National Defense Academy of Austria, Vienna

“Macro-Regionalization vs. ‘Minilateralism’: Chances and Challenges in the Danube Region”
Sebastian Schäffer, Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe, Vienna

“Abortive and Future Intermaria: NATObis, GUAM, CDC etc. & the ‘Gray Zone’”
Andreas Umland, Ukrainian Institute for the Future, Kyiv

19:00 Concluding Remarks by the Organizers

Rainard Kloucek, Paneuropa-Union, Vienna
Pavlo Klimkin, Ukrainian Institute for the Future, Kyiv
Andreas Umland, Ukrainian Institute for the Future, Kyiv
Sebastian Schäffer, Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe, Vienna

19:30 End

You can find the PDF version of the conference program attached.

  • Beginn: Freitag, 18. September 2020, 14:20 Uhr
  • Ende: Freitag, 18. September 2020, 19:30 Uhr
  • Ort: Zoom Livestream & IDM, Vienna
  • Auskunft: Mag. Sebastian Schäffer, MA
  • Auskunft E-Mail: s.schaeffer@idm.at

Program Ukraine and CEE Conference 2020.pdf

What Happens to Belarus after Lukashenka Falls?

Ukraine Today .org

Vladimir Putin, Alexander Lukashenko
Putin and Lukashenka, AP/Scanpix

The current Belarusian transformation could be leading to results similar to those of the 2018 Velvet Revolution inArmeniarather than of the 2013-2014 Revolution of Dignity inUkraine. Yet, the pathological relationship of Moscow’s imperialism towards Russia’s Eastern Slavic “brother nations” can mean that Belarus’s future may, in the end, be more similar to Ukraine’s rather than Armenia’s present.

Ukraine andBelarusare two of the culturally and geographically closest nations of Europe. Their Eastern Slavic languages, major Christian-Orthodox сhurches, and peculiar locations betweenRussia, on the one side, and the EU as well as NATO, on the other, are comparable and intertwined. Both are, on one level, very close to the also largely Orthodox and Eastern Slavic Russians. Yet, the Ukrainians andBelarusiansare, as post-colonial people, on another level, fundamentally different from post- and neo-imperial Russians whose international ambitions are partly…

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Die friedenspolitische Ambivalenz deutscher Pipelinedeals mit Moskau – eine interdependenztheoretische Erklärung des russisch-ukrainischen Konfliktes @Je_Sirius

Dieser Aufsatz führt einen wenig beachteten Aspekt der deutschen Ostpolitik der letzten 25 Jahren in die aufgeheizte europäische Diskussion darüber ein, wie man am besten mit Putins Russland umgehen solle. Ausgehend von der bekannten Interdependenztheorie wird argumentiert, dass durch die von Berlin geförderten zwei Nord-Stream-Projekte die russisch-ukrainischen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen gelockert und dadurch eine Konfrontation zwischen den beiden postsowjetischen Republiken erleichtert wurde. Besonderheiten der überraschend friedlichen Entwicklung der Ukraine in den ersten zwanzig Jahren ihres Bestehens als unabhängiger Staat werden der Eskalation der Spannungen zwischen Moskau und Kyjiw in den Jahren 2013–2014 gegenübergestellt. Die Fertigstellung des zweiten Strangs der ersten Nord-Stream-Pipeline im Oktober 2012 wird als eine entscheidende Entwicklung angesehen, die dem Kreml gegenüber der Ukraine freie Hand gab. Die Verringerung der wirtschaftlichen Interdependenz infolge der Umleitung sibirischer Gasexporte in die neue Ostsee-Pipeline führte zu einem Territorialkonflikt zwischen der Ukraine und Russland, der an Entwicklungen erinnert, die zuvor in Moldau und Georgien stattgefunden hatten.

Source: Die friedenspolitische Ambivalenz deutscher Pipelinedeals mit Moskau – eine interdependenztheoretische Erklärung des russisch-ukrainischen Konfliktes

https://www.academia.edu/44024222/Die_friedenspolitische_Ambivalenz_deutscher_Pipelinedeals_mit_Moskau_eine_interdependenztheoretische_Erklärung_des_russisch_ukrainischen_Konfliktes

TOC: Russ. Forum. Vol. 17: Germany & Russia, Donbas War, Ukrain. Decentralization, Literature, Populism, Poroshenko

Insert picture description

Форум новейшей восточноевропейской истории и культуры. 2020. T. 17. №№ 1-2
Open access: https://lnkd.in/dg-5iXQ
Contributions by: Marlene LaruelleValentyna RomanovaLeonid LuksVlad Mykhnenko and others.
Distributed by ibidem-Verlag.

I. Русские #европейцы (9)
II. Страницы новейшей истории
III. #Политология
IV. #Этнология
V. #Историякультуры
VI. Эссе
VII. Рецензии
VIII. Трибуна
Коротко об авторах

https://lnkd.in/dg-5iXQ

Earlier “Forum” issues: https://lnkd.in/e5uAR22

#internationalrelations#geopolitics#internationalaffairs#russia#russian#ukraine#democracy#ukrainian#easterneurope#politicalscience#russland#history

Articles series on post-Corona Ukrainian international relations with Pavlo Klimkin. Part 3: June 2020

UIF

Pavlo Klimkin and myself recently started, within the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, a series of jointly authored articles on Ukraine’s international relations, during and after the pandemic. The links to the Academia.edu PDFs of various versions of the articles published during April and May 2020 may be found here: https://umland.wordpress.com/2020/05/02/articles-series-on-post-corona-ukrainian-ir-with-pavlo-klimkin-part-1-april-2020/

https://umland.wordpress.com/2020/06/01/articles-series-on-post-corona-ukrainian-international-relations-with-pavlo-klimkin-part-2-may-2020/

 

Below are the titles of and links to further versions and translations of these texts published, in different editions, in French, English, and German, in June 2020. More such texts (including in Polish) are forthcoming.

 

The Coronavirus Crisis as a Critical Juncture for Ukraine and the World // Foreign Policy Blogs, 2020

 

La crise du Covid-19: un moment critique pour l’Ukraine et pour le monde // Regard Sur l’Est, 2020

 

Die Corona-Krise als Wendepunkt für die Weltpolitik und die Ukraine: Geopolitische Auswirkungen der Pandemie auf das internationale System und die ukrainischen auswärtigen Angelegenheiten // Portal für Politikwissenschaft, 2020

 

Predicting the Post-Pandemic World: “Deep Globalism” or Isolation? // Harvard International Review, 2020

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Some additional oral reflections on our prognoses:

 

With Adam Reichardt Maciej Makulski: Talk Eastern Europe Episode 40: Will COVID-19 bring a new world order? // New Eastern Europe, 11 June 2020. neweasterneurope.eu/2020/06/11/talk-eastern-europe-episode-40-will-covid-19-bring-a-new-world-order/

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Some additional articles by Pavlo Klimkin published in June 2020:

 

Східне партнерство у новій реальності: на що варто звернути увагу Україні // Європейська правда, 2020

 

Пополнение на Минской площадке по Донбассу – верная, но бесполезная история // Ліга.net, 2020

 

Росія: що далі? Що чекає РФ після реінкарнації путінізму на референдумі, та до чого варто готуватися Україні // Дзеркало тижня. Україна, 2020 (with Volodymyr Ivanov)

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A series of translated articles on the issue of Crimea’s return under Kyiv control, from June 2020:

 

Почему путинский захват Крыма носит лишь временный характер [unauthorized translation by InoSMI.ru]

InoSMI, 2020

 

Почему завоевание Путиным Крыма – это лишь временное явление [unauthorized translation by inoPressa]

InoPressa.ru, 2020

 

Bis Putin geht: Warum Russlands Annexion der Krim nur vorübergehender Natur ist

Focus Online, 2020

 

Kodel pokoronine Rusija galiausiai grazins Kryma Ukrainai

Lietuvos nacionalinis radijas ir televizija, 2020

 

Why Post-Corona Russia Will Eventually Hand Crimea Voluntarily Back to Ukraine

Emerging Europe, 2020

 

Крым может стать для Путина дорогостоящей обузой [unauthorized translation by inoSMI.ru]

ИноСМИ.ru, 2020

 

Crimea Could Become an Expensive Liability for Putin

Atlantic Council, 2020

 

Чи хочуть росіяни платити? Чому посткоронавірусна Росія зрештою поверне Крим Україні

Дзеркало тижня, 2020

 

Хотят ли русские платить? Почему посткоронавирусная Россия в конце концов вернет Крым Украине

Зеркало недели, 2020

=================================================

 

Andreas Umland, Dr. phil., Ph. D.

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7916-4646

 

Coll. vol.: The 21st Century Cold War: A New World Order? Ed. by Jeffrey Kaplan @Routledge

Image generated by GPL Ghostscript (device=pnmraw)
The 21st Century Cold War: A New World Order?
Edited by Jeffrey Kaplan. ISBN 9780367427863.
Routledge Politics, IR and Strategic Studies 2020.
176 pages.
 
 
The 21st Century Cold War is a multidisciplinary approach to understanding the pattern of Russian interference in the internal affairs of other nations, suggesting that what in the Cold War was a simple conflict of East vs. West has expanded into a conflict between Russia and two increasingly separate Wests.
The book begins with an examination of the structure of the Cold War and post-Cold War world, and subsequently explores Russian interference by overt, grey, and covert means including, but not limited to, cyberespionage, “fake news”, and the use of what in the Cold War would have been called front groups and agents of influence. The approach encompasses both historic and contemporary themes, with the question of whether the Cold War between East and West–capitalism and communism–is a thing of the past, or does it continue today in new ideological guises, as a central theme. Expert contributors explore what the motivations and implications for the pattern of Russian interference in the political processes of other states would be, and what new coalitions of actors are taking shape both for and against Russian activities. With a series of historical and contemporary case studies, focusing on the origins and contemporary dimensions of Russian information warfare, and exploring the issues involved from every perspective, The 21st Century Cold War will be of great interest to scholars of Security and Strategic Studies, International Relations, and Cold War History, as well as policy makers and security professionals. The chapters were originally published as a special issue of Terrorism and Political Violence.
 
T a b l e   o f    C o n t e n t s
 
Introduction
Jeffrey Kaplan
 
1. The Wests: Decline Management and Geopolitics
David B. Kanin
 
2. More East than West: The World Council of Churches at the Dawn of the Cold War
Jeffrey Kaplan
 
3. Useful Idiots or Fellow Travelers? The Relationship between the American Far Right and Russia
George Michael
 
4. Russian Foreign Policy Management and Manipulation with the Soviet Successor States
Carol Lutz, Brenda J. Lutz, and James M. Lutz
 
5. Hybrid Warfare and the Legal Domain
Andres Muñoz Mosquera, Sascha-Dominik Bachmann, and J. Abraham Muñoz Bravo
 
6. Irregular Militias and Radical Nationalism in Post-Euromaydan Ukraine: The Prehistory and Emergence of the “Azov” Battalion in 2014
Andreas Umland
 
7. The Africa Policy of Russia
János Besenyő
 
8. The Asymmetric Approach in Russian Security Strategy: Implications for the Nordic Countries
Katri Pynnöniemi
——————————-
 
The Editor:
Jeffrey Kaplan is a Professor at Habib University in Karachi, Pakistan, and the author or editor of 22 books and over 70 articles and anthology chapters on religious violence, millenarianism, terrorism, and oppositional religious movements. He is Book Review Editor for Terrorism and Political Violence.

Articles series on post-Corona Ukrainian international relations, with Pavlo Klimkin. Part 2: May 2020

UIF

Pavlo Klimkin and myself recently started, within the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, a series of jointly authored articles on Ukraine’s international relations, during and after the pandemic. The links to the Academia.edu PDFs of various versions of the initial two articles published during April 2020 may be found here: https://umland.wordpress.com/2020/05/02/articles-series-on-post-corona-ukrainian-ir-with-pavlo-klimkin-part-1-april-2020/

 

Below are the titles of and links to further versions and translations of these texts published, in different editions, in French, English, German and Russian. More such texts (including in Polish) are forthcoming.

 

La crise du coronavirus, un moment critique pour l’Ukraine et le monde // EUtalk, 2020

 

Schöne neue Welt: Die Ukraine in der sich wandelnden Geopolitik // The European, 2020

 

How to Progress Ukraine’s Western Integration as a Prelude to Accession to the EU and NATO // Utrikespolitiska Institutet Paper, 2020

 

The Coronavirus Crisis as a Critical Juncture for Ukraine and the World: Deliberations on the Political Repercussions of the Ongoing Pandemic for International Relations and Ukrainian Foreign Affairs // New Eastern Europe, 2020

 

Brave New World: How the Pandemic Is Changing the International System and Ukraine’s Place in It // Ukraine World, 2020

 

Die Coronakrise belegt einmal mehr, was die Ukraine bereits wusste: Die jetzige UNO funktioniert nicht // Ukraine verstehen, 2020

 

Что делать Украине, Грузии и Молдове для продолжения западной интеграции в условиях мирового кризиса // JAMnews, 2020

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Some additional oral reflections on our prognoses:

 

With Martin Kragh: Ukraine’s Prospects for Integration with the EU and NATO // Swedish Institute of International Affairs, 2020. https://soundcloud.com/user-312634401/ukraines-prospects-for-integration-with-the-eu-and-nato

 

With Volodymyr Yermolenko: How Is the Pandemic Changing the World and Ukraine’s Place in It? // Ukraine World, 2020. https://soundcloud.com/user-579586558/ep-25-how-is-the-pandemic-changing-the-world-and-ukraines-place-in-it

Вебінар про українсько-єврейсько-польські стосунки під час Другої світової війни

Центр дослідження міжетнічних відносин Східної Європи

11 травня 2020 року Юрій Радченко виступив на вебінарі громад консервативного юдаїзму в Україна «Масорті Україна» з лекцією «Нерадянські партизани та українсько-єврейські стосунки на Волині та в Галичині у 1943-1944 рр.» Вербінар був приурочений до 75-ї річниці завершення Другої світової війни в Європі.

У своїй доповіді Юрій торкнувся питання утворення та генези українських (бандерівських, мельниківських, бульбівських) та єврейських партизанських груп на території Західної України в останній рік нацистської окупації та ескалації українсько-польського конфлікту. Значна увага у доповіді була приділена долі євреїв, які були залучені до служби в українській партизанці. Учасниками онлайн семінару стали слухачі з України Ізраїлю, Польщі та Канади.

Запис вербінару можна переглянути на Youtube каналі Центру.

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Articles series on post-Corona Ukrainian IR with Pavlo Klimkin. Part 1: April 2020

UIF 

Pavlo Klimkin and myself recently started, within the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, a series of jointly authored articles on Ukraine’s international relations, during and after the pandemic. Below are the links to the Academia.edu PDFs of the first such articles published during April 2020. These are various versions, excerpts and translations of two larger texts published, in different editions, in Ukrainian, English, German and Russian. More such texts (including in Polish) are forthcoming.

Coronavirus proves what Ukrainians already knew — the UN doesn’t work // Atlantic Council, 2020

Прекрасний новий світ…: Роздуми про безпеку людства, перезавантаження міжнародної системи та долю України після пандемії // Дзеркало тижня, 2020

Прекрасный новый мир…: Раздумья о безопасности человечества, перезагрузке международной системы и судьбе Украины после пандемии // Зеркало недели, 2020

Die Corona-Krise als Wendepunkt: Weltpolitik und die Ukraine // GSP-Einblick, 2020

Grey Zone Politics: Why Ukraine Needs Creative International Cooperation // European Council on Foreign Relations, 2020

Альтернативні шляхи західної інтеграції України під час та після коронакризи: Як Києву реагувати на нову геополітичну ситуацію, в якій опинилися країни східноєвропейської «сірої зони»? // VoxUkraine , 2020

Альтернативные пути западной интеграции Украины во время и после коронакризиса: Как Киеву реагировать на новую геополитическую ситуацию, в которой оказались страны восточноевропейской «серой зоны»? // VoxUkraine, 2020

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Some additional oral reflections on our prognoses in Ukrainian and Russian, with Liudmyla Nemyria of UkrLife TV:

КЛАСИЧНИХ ЗОН ВПЛИВУ В СВІТІ БІЛЬШЕ НЕ БУДЕ, – ПАВЛО КЛІМКІН 

www.ukrlife.tv/video/politika/klasichnih-zon-vplivu-v-sviti-bilshe-ne-bude-pavlo-klimkin

КОНЕЦ ЭПОХИ ДЛЯ РОССИИ И УГРОЗА ПЕРЕИЗБРАНИЮ ТРАМПА, – АНДРЕАС УМЛАНД 

www.ukrlife.tv/video/politika/konets-epohi-dlia-rossii-i-ugroza-pereizbraniiu-trampa-andreas-umland